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Brazil·Elections

Brazil's presidential campaign unusually subdued ahead of October 4 vote, with 30% of voters still undecided

Thursday, 24 September 2026, 06:26 · 1 min read

Brazil's presidential election campaign is markedly quieter than usual with less than two weeks until the October 4 first-round vote, as the contest plays out largely on digital platforms rather than in streets filled with rallies and campaign materials. Polls show incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leading with roughly 37–39% support against right-wing challenger Flávio Bolsonaro — son of jailed former president Jair Bolsonaro — at around 33%, but between 30% and 35% of voters remain undecided, making the outcome highly uncertain. A runoff on October 25 is widely expected, and analysts note that independent voters, abstention rates, and late-breaking political developments — including ongoing judicial crises and the legacy of the January 8, 2023 storming of government buildings by pro-Bolsonaro supporters — could all prove decisive.

Sources
The Conversation — Elections in Brazil: a subdued, digital campaign heightens uncertainty about the results ↗︎
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