Polling models for Andalusia's (Spain's largest and most populous region) upcoming regional election show the conservative Partido Popular on course for 55 seats and an outright majority, but the outcome remains precarious — projections indicate the PP falls short of that threshold in nearly half of simulated scenarios. The race has been further complicated by open hostility between PP regional president Juan Manuel Moreno Bonilla and far-right Vox leader Santiago Abascal, who publicly mocked Moreno Bonilla and vowed to impose a 'national priority' agenda as a condition of any parliamentary support. The breakdown in relations between the two right-wing parties introduces significant uncertainty over whether a stable government can be formed if the PP fails to secure an absolute majority on its own.