Hurricane Simon has intensified into a powerful Category 4 storm off Mexico's Pacific coast, with maximum sustained winds of 150 mph (about 240 km/h), and is forecast to approach or move just inland of the country's west-central coast late on Saturday or early Sunday. The US National Hurricane Center (NHC) said the storm was about 115 miles (185 km) south-southwest of Manzanillo on Saturday morning, moving northward, and that some further strengthening was possible before landfall.
A hurricane warning is in effect for parts of the Pacific coast south of the beach resort of Puerto Vallarta, including the area around Manzanillo, Mexico's largest Pacific port, and the offshore Islas Marias archipelago. A tropical storm watch covers areas farther south toward Lazaro Cardenas. The NHC expects 10 to 20 inches (25 to 51 cm) of rain across parts of southwestern Mexico through Sunday, with isolated totals of up to 30 inches (76 cm) in parts of Michoacan, Colima and Jalisco. The agency warned of life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in steep terrain, as well as a dangerous storm surge and large, destructive waves near and east of where the storm's center comes ashore. Mexican authorities also expect heavy rain in Guerrero.
Preparations are under way along the coast. In Jalisco state, officials suspended classes in 22 coastal municipalities, began evacuating at-risk areas, and urged hotels and tourism businesses in Puerto Vallarta to ensure workers and visitors could reach shelters. Shops in the resort boarded up windows and placed sandbags at entrances. In Manzanillo, a Reuters reporter described residents as largely calm, with little panic buying, though some stores were boarding up and streets were relatively empty. Rain had fallen intermittently since Friday night, and rising seas were pushing waves nearly to the entrances of beachfront hotels, even though the strongest winds had not yet arrived.
Civil protection workers closed beaches, set up barriers and raised red and black warning flags. Marines, soldiers, National Guard officers and emergency personnel patrolled areas prone to flooding and landslides, and precautionary evacuations began in parts of Cihuatlan, a flood-prone municipality in Jalisco near Manzanillo. Rivers in some areas were already running high, raising fears of overflow if rain intensifies.
Forecasters stress that the speed of Simon's intensification adds to the danger. "Simon has strengthened incredibly quickly, and that's what makes storms like this so dangerous," said AccuWeather meteorologist Dan Pydynowski, warning that flooding and mudslides could cut roads and hinder emergency crews, while power outages and damaged infrastructure could complicate recovery.
The storm comes a week after Hurricane Polo struck the Baja California Peninsula as a Category 2 hurricane, toppling trees and utility poles and flooding streets. Swells from Simon are also expected to bring dangerous surf and rip currents to parts of Mexico's southwestern and west-central coast in the coming days.